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"When an agency provides a clear forecast, the quality of competition it can attract increases exponentially.” 

- Jim Carroll, CEO, PSC

Overview

Federal contractors rely on agency procurement forecasts to:

1) conduct business planning and

2) better develop capabilities to support the needs of government customers.

Each year, PSC reviews agency forecasts and rates them using the Federal Business Forecast Scorecard, evaluating 15 key attributes that industry relies on to understand — and act on — upcoming agency opportunities.

PSC’s goal is not simply to rate federal forecasts but to promote practical progress. By highlighting strong forecasting practices, identifying common gaps, and engaging directly with federal procurement leaders, PSC strives to advance industry-government collaboration and improve acquisition planning.

Why Forecasts Are Important


Federal business forecasts are a critical tool for strengthening communication between government and industry, attracting industry partners, and ensuring the best outcomes for agencies.

When forecasts contain needed information with sufficient detail, they help companies plan investments, make informed bid decisions, build teams, identify small-business opportunities, and prepare optimally to meet  agency mission requirements. 

Such forecasts also provide value to agencies themselves--for example, improved market research, an expanded industrial base,  and increased competition that can lead to efficient, effective, and cutting edge capabilities.

15 Key Attributes of a Successful Forecast

Searchable Spreadsheet

Easy to find and filter

At a minimum, forecasts should be available in Excel format. Because PDFs…

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Date Modified*

Recently updated

Agencies should indicate the last modification date for each opportunity. This…

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Forecast Update Frequency*

Updated on a regular Basis

PSC’s Federal Business Forecast team evaluates forecasts on frequency of…

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Project Description and Contract Number*

Clar scope and ID

The PSC team evaluates forecasts on the existence and comprehensiveness of a…

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Dollar Value (Base + Options)*

Accurate total value

The PSC team evaluates forecasts on whether the tool lists…

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Program or COR Contact Information*

Direct point of contact

Agency forecasts should specify a point of contact for each…

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Program Office and Buying Activity*

Identifies the buyer

PSC’s Federal Business Forecast team evaluates forecasts on whether they…

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PSC and NAICS Codes*

Correct industry classification

When evaluating a forecast, the PSC team looks for specific NAICS…

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New Start or Recompete with Incumbent

Indicates acquisition status

Does the forecast specify the incumbent for each opportunity, or does…

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Set Aside and Type*

Eligibility and set-aside details

PSC’s Federal Business Forecast team evaluates whether the tool…

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Contract Vehicle*

Acquisition vehicle identified (e.g., IDIQ, BPA)

Forecasts should indicate a particular contract…

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Action / Award Type*

Procurement action type

The team evaluates whether the forecast specifies each opportunity’s award…

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Anticipated Solicitation Release Date*

Expected RFP release

Forecasts should specify the anticipated solicitation release date for each…

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Anticipated Award Date

Expected contract award

Does the forecast specify the anticipated award date and / or fiscal year…

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Anticipated Award Length

Duration of performance

PSC’s Federal Business Forecast team evaluates whether the forecast…

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2026 Agency Exemplars

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CMS
A Strong Agency-Owned Forecast

CMS stood out for maintaining a clear, accessible, and highly useful agency-specific forecast. Its approach demonstrates that a well-maintained forecast does not need to be overly complex to be effective. Even a straightforward spreadsheet can provide significant value when it is current, complete, searchable, and aligned with the information industry needs to assess upcoming opportunities. CMS’s forecast reflects strong ownership of the forecasting function and provides an example of how agencies can support transparency and industry planning through a practical, well-executed tool.

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NASA
A Comprehensive Agency-Wide Forecasting Model

NASA stood out for its robust, agency-wide forecasting mechanism that allows users to drill down into individual opportunities while maintaining a clear, structured, and easy-to-follow presentation. NASA’s forecast provides a comprehensive Electronically Sortable Information model, with detailed opportunity-level information and a user experience that supports navigation across the agency’s forecasted opportunities. Its approach adheres to nearly all of PSC’s 15 key attributes and demonstrates the value of a well-developed forecasting system that connects agency-wide visibility with actionable opportunity-level detail.

"At CMS, we believe that transparent and accessible acquisition forecasting is fundamental to effective partnership with Industry. We regularly publish a forecast to allow our current and potential Industry partners to plan strategically, meaningfully engage with the CMS team, and compete effectively for opportunities that support CMS missions. CMS is committed to continuing to share transparent and practical information to enable successful acquisition and mission outcomes."

- Douglas Bergevin, Director, Office of Acquisition and Grants Management Head of Contracting Activity Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services

"Effective acquisition begins with communication, and a robust forecast is one of the most powerful tools we have to engage with Industry."

- Bradley Niese, Senior Procurement Executive, Deputy Chief Acquisition Officer, and Assistant Administrator for Procurement, NASA

Plan for the 2027 Scorecard

PSC is planning to release a 2027 Federal Business Forecast Scorecard. Key dates include:

  • June 2026 – PSC begins agency outreach and distribution of the scorecard checklist
  • January 2027 – Snapshot of agency forecasts taken
  • February 2027 – Initial assessments of agency forecast snapshots completed
  • March 2027 – PSC communicates initial results with agency procurement leaders and works toward progress 
  • April 2027 – Final snapshot of agency forecasts
  • May 2027 – Final assessment of agency forecasts
  • June 2027 – Release of the 2027 Federal Business Forecast Scorecard

Contact policy@pscouncil.org for more information.

About PSC

The Professional Services Council (PSC) is the voice of the government technology and professional services and solutions industry, representing the full range and diversity of the government services and solutions sector. PSC is the most respected industry leader on legislative and regulatory issues related to government acquisition, business and technology. PSC helps shape public policy, leads strategic coalitions, and works to build consensus between government and industry.

PSC’s more than 400 member companies represent small, medium, and large businesses that provide federal agencies with services and solutions of all kinds, including information technology, engineering, logistics, facilities management, operations and maintenance, consulting, international development, scientific, social, environmental services, and more.

Together, the trade association’s members employ hundreds of thousands of Americans in all 50 states.

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